Monday, October 15, 2018

Foreclosures, Short Sales and other Distress Situations… Are They Still A Good Investor Buy?


Five years ago the real estate market in most of the country was awash with REO’s (“Real Estate Owned” by banks after foreclosure) and short sales.  Lenders were anxious to get these properties off their books, and they were willing to accept offers from qualified buyers that reflected their level of motivation.  That was then.  Today the flood of foreclosed properties that entered the market after the real estate market crash of 2008-2009 or so has long been absorbed into the market.  In today’s market, the inventory of resale homes—“distressed” or otherwise—is low in most regions of the country.  That is certainly the case in the Charlotte metropolitan area.

I still encounter buyers—even investors—who perceive that an REO (a “foreclosure”) or a short sale must be a bargain.  I also still encounter buyers who insist on making offers well below the listing price of a home, regardless of what comparable homes have recently sold for.  Both of these perceptions are incorrect in most cases.  Of course, each property presents a unique case and should be approached that way.  But the notion that “foreclosures” are good deals for the buyer/investor by their very nature is generally incorrect in this current “seller’s market,” characterized by low inventory.

Despite popular belief, banks are generally not stupid.  They also have some understanding of the current market, and they also know that inventories or low.  For that reason, they are quite unlikely to price their REO properties below market value.  And if they price their homes at market value, then REO properties in this market are no greater a value than any other resale home.

The thing that can make an REO or a short sale something into which the buyer/investor is more likely to build equity quickly is condition.  It is possible to buy an REO that is in poor condition, and pay a price that reflects the poor condition.  Then rehab or update the home more cost- effectively than most people might and thereby build equity more quickly.  But if you truly pay market value for an REO in poor condition, you may not be getting the bargain you think you are getting—unless you keep the cost of renovations firmly under control.  The equity you build comes from cost-effective renovations, not the purchase price you paid. It is quite conceivable to pay a “discounted” price for an REO (or any other property) based on condition, but spend more than the discount for renovations.  In such a case, the buyer will have ultimately spent more than market value for the home and have no equity in it at all.  This is not a game for the faint-hearted or ill informed.

Very similar considerations apply to short sales.  Remember that a short sale by definition is a home on which the amount of the mortgage exceeds its market value, and the seller is therefore asking the lender to accept less than it is owned on the mortgage to enable the seller to sell the home.  As market values have risen in the last several years, there are fewer and fewer short sales.  If market values are up, why would a bank be willing to accept less than the full amount it is owed unless the market value of the home truly is significantly lower than the mortgage amount outstanding?  The market is no longer flooded with distress sales competing for a small pool of cash buyers. 

The best practice in reviewing REO’s and short sales is to research recent comparable sales—do your homework.  There can be no assumptions that these properties automatically present value.  They really do not anymore—no more so than any other resale property.  As our company motto goes: “Solid analysis identifies great opportunities.” 

We would be happy to answer your questions and help you identify the next great opportunity.  It’s what we do all day, every day.  Feel free to contact us at (980)875-0950 or by visiting www.EricDorerRealEstate.com.